Catch-22 and Japan’s response
US Equities are vulnerable almost whatever happens
If investors want to prevent the negative effects that a trade war between the US and China could have on US Equities, they may be forced to sell US Equities. This may be one of the few ways they have of getting President Trump’s attention. Our models are at – or very close to – maximum underweight in equities. If there is a storm coming, Japan may have an important policy tool to mitigate some of the damage.