Sector Breadth

Wednesday, February 15th, 2017

Measuring support for our overweight calls

Sector recommendations can be stock recommendations in disguise, if performance depends narrowly on one or two large companies. Our overweight recommendations on Financials in the US, the UK and the Eurozone all enjoy broad-based support, as do US and Eurozone Industrials and UK Materials. The overweight calls on US Technology and Eurozone Materials depend heavily on one stock and are therefore lower quality.

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Raising the Red Flag

Wednesday, January 25th, 2017

We are nervous about China and its Tech sector

China is on our negative watch list compared with the rest of the global equity universe. Countries which have occupied its current chart position normally drop into the bottom quartile. Part of the problem is the faltering performance of the local Tech sector, the largest in the index. A decline in Chinese equities would quickly complicate relationships with the new US administration and make global investors very nervous.

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