No Yellow Flags
Sector dynamics of early bear markets
A large rise in excess volatility (equity volatility minus bond volatility) is a good indicator of the onset of a bear market in the US and elsewhere. It also works at the sector level for those sectors which peak early, before the dynamics of contagion take over. Every bear market is different, but there are similarities in the early phases. Apart from Telecom, which is a very small sector, there are no warning signs at the US sector level at the moment.