Rotation in the US
Friday, July 10th, 2020 Categories: Rotation, Seasonality, Sector Strategy, United States
US sector signals suggest a reappraisal during results season
Our US equity sector model has been unusually quiet of late, but we are picking up signals that this is about to change. The lead indicator for the scale of potential changes is close to a one-year high and the level of conviction attached to this reading is at a two-year high. We expect the rotation to start at the bottom and work upwards. Energy and Materials look interesting, while Staples, Utilities and, possibly, Healthcare look challenged.