The Great Volatility Slide is Over
It’s still very low, but it will start rising soon
We think our volatility index has stopped falling, though we can’t certain just yet. Once this has happened, it will probably take 10-11 months for it to return to its median level, based on past experience. All other things being equal, median volatility will require most investors to have a benchmark weight in equities, as opposed to their current overweight.