Winter Is Coming

Wednesday, August 23rd, 2017 Categories: Correction, Geo-Political Risk, Market Timing

But it will be very mild to start with

We fully expect a correction in US and global equities at some stage during the Autumn, but unless two or more of our risk-scenarios crystallize at the same time, we don’t think it will be more than 10%. There is too much residual momentum, especially outside the USA, and even after a correction, realised volatility will be below its long-run average.

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