All posts in category: Industrials (3)

Simple Explanation

Thursday, November 15th, 2018

Industrials are weak in both equity and credit models

Weakness in US Industrials can often be a signal that we are close to a period of market disruption. That signal is flashing yellow, as are the signals from other equity regions such as the UK, the Eurozone and Japan. We have red flags on Industrials across all of our credit models. We don’t have a clear and obvious cause yet, but the simplest explanation could be that we are closer to a significant slowdown than consensus thinks.

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Parlour Games with Volatility

Wednesday, March 8th, 2017

Curious and unsustainable sector effects

The new ultra-low volatility regime throws up some curious implications for equity sectors. Who knew that US Technology and EU Industrials are now attractive to risk-averse investors? What about Healthcare, which could deliver significant returns if investors were just prepared to give it the benefit of the new paradigm.

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While You Were Distracted

Wednesday, November 9th, 2016

China’s new Finance Minister has an FX issue

Now that the US elections are over, markets will begin to refocus on the big issues facing the global economy, one of which is the CNY USD exchange rate. We think that the behaviour of the Chinese Industrials sector may offer valuable insight into what Chinese investors think about this.

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