Three Unrelated Ideas

Wednesday, February 1st, 2017

Energy, Spain and Small Caps

Nothing has happened to move the dial on any of our major themes; so this a time for housekeeping and some small ideas. The three we have chosen are: reducing exposure to the Energy sector, using Spanish government bonds as the safe-haven against election shocks in Europe, and increasing exposure to UK and Eurozone Small Caps.

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Dodging a Three-Tonne Truck

Wednesday, November 2nd, 2016

Financials rally could be painful

Financials are rallying fast, driven by a significant decline in volatility in the US and the UK, which is exactly what our models expect. We don’t know whether this is justified by fundamentals, but we do know that every investor with an underweight position will have to consider reducing the risk relative to benchmark, sooner or later.

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