Diversification in a Positive World

Wednesday, September 21st, 2016

Greater China is negatively correlated

This is the second part of our exercise looking at ways in which investors can diversify away from the threat of falling US Treasuries. This week we focus on global equities and argue that the best protection is offered by Greater China (including Taiwan and Hong Kong). This region is also on the positive watch-list in our All-World Country Equity Report.

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China Rehabilitated

Wednesday, August 31st, 2016

This week we upgrade China to overweight relative to global equities and Chinese Financials to overweight relative to the local index. There is some interesting evidence to suggest that the PBoC has begun the forced recapitalisation of Tier-2 banks. This has already caused Chinese Financials to decouple from the sector in the rest of the world and it may lead to the rehabilitation of the country as a destination for international investors.

Forced recapitalisation of Tier-2 banks has begun

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