Our flagship product, called Synopsis, is published every two weeks. It uses the data generated by our process to address whatever we think are the most important issues in global investing at the time.
All our notes are tagged thematically, so feel free to click on any of the topics and explore what we have written.
Under UK regulations, our research is only available to professional clients and eligible counterparties; they are not available to retail (investment) clients. Harlyn Research is not registered as an investment advisor with the SEC and therefore any information about our investment products or services is not directed at nor intended for US investors.
Eurosceptics may win EU elections
Thursday, October 11th, 2018A black swan for 2019
PURCHASE ALL ACCESS PASS
Already hold an All Access Pass? LOG IN
Time for Another Look
Wednesday, October 3rd, 2018Two bullish signals for Japan
PURCHASE ALL ACCESS PASS
Already hold an All Access Pass? LOG IN
Lost in Translation
Wednesday, September 26th, 2018China and the US disagree about more than trade
There is a fundamental conflict between the bearish sector stance of our Chinese equity sector model and the bullish positioning of the US model. We don’t think it is possible for these two sets of sector recommendations to remain unchanged without having an impact on each other or the rest of the global equity universe. On balance we think it is more likely that the US will come to resemble China, rather than the other way around.
PURCHASE ALL ACCESS PASS
Already hold an All Access Pass? LOG IN
Top and Bottom Agree
Wednesday, September 19th, 2018Stock-specific models show equities under pressure
Our new stock-specific models cover the US, UK and the Eurozone and they have an uncomfortable message regarding the outlook for global equities. We looked at eight companies in the US and the UK, whose profits are geared to global equity markets. Seven of them have a very low probability of beating their host index on a risk-adjusted basis, and their scores are lower than the Financials sector as a whole. Equity investors appear to believe that the outlook for equities is difficult and that agrees with our top-down models
PURCHASE ALL ACCESS PASS
Already hold an All Access Pass? LOG IN
Almighty dollar
Wednesday, September 12th, 2018Currency models don’t help with asset allocation
PURCHASE ALL ACCESS PASS
Already hold an All Access Pass? LOG IN
Midsummer Moderation
Wednesday, August 22nd, 2018Time to reduce the beta of your equity portfolio
All four defensive sectors in the US have generated relative buy signals in the last three months and as a group they are starting to outperform the index. This may or may not be an indicator for the equity market as a whole; that is for the future to decide. Right now, investors should be reducing the beta of their equity portfolio, no matter what their macro-outlook. And the same applies to European portfolios as well
PURCHASE ALL ACCESS PASS
Already hold an All Access Pass? LOG IN
Europe Can Set the Agenda
Wednesday, August 1st, 2018EM assets are already attractive in euros
PURCHASE ALL ACCESS PASS
Already hold an All Access Pass? LOG IN
Can US Equities Break-Out?
Wednesday, July 25th, 2018They may have done so already
PURCHASE ALL ACCESS PASS
Already hold an All Access Pass? LOG IN
Three Unrelated Ideas
Saturday, July 14th, 2018Japanese Equities, US High Yield and Healthcare
PURCHASE ALL ACCESS PASS
Already hold an All Access Pass? LOG IN
Search our Site
- Bear Markets (12)
- Bubble (2)
- Cash (7)
- China (42)
- Commercial Property (1)
- Commodities (8)
- Corporate Bonds (16)
- Correction (10)
- Correlation (9)
- COVID-19 (3)
- Credit Quality (2)
- Crude oil (1)
- Defensives (14)
- Diversification (27)
- Dividends (3)
- Dollar index (6)
- Duration (1)
- Earnings Estimates (7)
- Economic Forecasts (2)
- Elections (8)
- Emerging Markets (38)
- Energy Prices (14)
- Equities (56)
- ESG (2)
- Eurozone (35)
- Eurozone Crisis (7)
- Financials (9)
- Fiscal policy (2)
- FX rates (27)
- Geo-Political Risk (15)
- Global Equities (53)
- Government Bonds (24)
- Harlyn's Process (24)
- Healthcare (2)
- Hedge Funds (3)
- High Conviction Ideas (1)
- High Yield (2)
- India (2)
- Industrials (4)
- Inflation (7)
- Interest Rates (6)
- Investment Styles (7)
- Japan (23)
- Leverage (1)
- Market dislocation (6)
- Market Timing (38)
- Momentum vs mean reversion (3)
- QE / QT (10)
- Real Economy (3)
- Real Estate (5)
- Real Yield (2)
- Recession (4)
- REITs (1)
- Risk aversion (9)
- Risk-Adjusted Returns (23)
- Rotation (17)
- Seasonality (12)
- Sector Strategy (47)
- Small Caps (5)
- Tail Risk (5)
- Technology (22)
- Turning Points (3)
- United Kingdom (21)
- United States (64)
- US Treasuries (17)
- Volatility (29)
- White Paper (1)
- Yield curve (8)